Negotiation Analytics

What the ransom-chat transcripts already say about each group's real bottom line.

Negotiations parsed

287

across 31 groups

Groups with reliable samples

≥ 4 logged negotiations

Overall paid rate

27.2%

78 of 287 confirmed paid

Avg. negotiated discount

50.3%

off the initial demand

Total ransom paid

$17.9M

confirmed paid, all groups

Total ransom demanded

$574.8M

initial asks, before negotiation

Groups with fewer than 4 logged negotiations are counted in the totals above but left out of the ranking and table below — too small a sample to be meaningful.

Average discount off the initial demand, by group

Paid rate & avg. discount over time, industry-wide

Based on the 197 of 287 negotiations (68.6%) whose filename carries a parseable date; years with fewer than 4 logged negotiations are omitted. Shown industry-wide, not per group — per-group yearly samples are too thin to be meaningful.

Negotiation volume & outcomes

Group	Negotiations	Paid rate	Avg. discount
Akira	75	36.0% paid	52.6%
Lockbit3.0	45	6.7% paid	44.7%
Dragonforce	32	3.1% paid	46.9%
Conti	32	34.4% paid	59.9%
Revil	20	45.0% paid	68.0%
Nightspire	11	90.9% paid	35.7%
Trinity	9	33.3% paid	35.2%
Hive	8	0.0% paid	34.2%
Avaddon	7	14.3% paid	56.5%
Fog	6	50.0% paid	53.1%
Blackbasta	5	80.0% paid	39.0%
Darkside	5	60.0% paid	61.7%

Data provided by Valéry Marchive & Julien Mousqueton