Negotiation Analytics

What the ransom-chat transcripts already say about each group's real bottom line.

Negotiations parsed

214

across 23 groups

Groups with reliable samples

≥ 4 logged negotiations

Overall paid rate

28.5%

61 of 214 confirmed paid

Avg. negotiated discount

50.4%

off the initial demand

Total ransom paid

$18.0M

confirmed paid, all groups

Total ransom demanded

$520.2M

initial asks, before negotiation

Groups with fewer than 4 logged negotiations are counted in the totals above but left out of the ranking and table below — too small a sample to be meaningful.

Average discount off the initial demand, by group

Paid rate & avg. discount over time, industry-wide

Based on the 138 of 214 negotiations (64.5%) whose filename carries a parseable date; years with fewer than 4 logged negotiations are omitted. Shown industry-wide, not per group — per-group yearly samples are too thin to be meaningful.

Negotiation volume & outcomes

Group	Negotiations	Paid rate	Avg. discount
Akira	47	42.6% paid	50.6%
Lockbit3.0	42	7.1% paid	44.7%
Conti	30	36.7% paid	60.1%
Dragonforce	23	0.0% paid	41.3%
Revil	14	50.0% paid	67.5%
Hive	8	0.0% paid	34.2%
Trinity	7	28.6% paid	13.3%
Avaddon	7	14.3% paid	56.5%
Fog	6	50.0% paid	45.3%
Blackbasta	5	80.0% paid	39.0%
Darkside	5	60.0% paid	61.7%
Nightspire	4	100.0% paid	38.8%

Data provided by Valéry Marchive & Julien Mousqueton